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Dust EPA monitor flag

2011-07-05 windblown-dust episode affecting Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ

July 5, 2011

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 102.3 µg/m³ near Phoenix across 1 covered metro home to 5.2 million people. 1 metro placed a top-ten day in their record.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 4.1 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 21 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Dust”

National Weather Service, ADEQ, and monitor-qualifier evidence consistently support windblown dust as the broad cause of the July 5 Phoenix PM2.5 episode.

EPA monitor flag EPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.

U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jul 5, 2011 official

AQS PM2.5 qualifier RJ — High Winds.

EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RJ, High Winds.) on 101 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2011-07-05, identifying windblown or transported dust as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jul 5, 2011 official

AQS PM2.5 qualifier IJ — High Winds.

EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IJ, High Winds.) on 1 PM2.5 sample in the candidate CBSA on 2011-07-05, identifying windblown or transported dust as affecting the sample. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Dust

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RJ, High Winds.) on 101 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2011-07-05, identifying windblown or transported dust as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an…

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The transport path has not been reconstructed

    The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.

    Research gap
  3. 3

    Local response

    102.3 µg/m³ near Phoenix

    Arizona DEQ's July 2011 report documents the major July 5 dust storm and PM2.5 exceedances in the Phoenix metropolitan area.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Dust” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ

Monitor comparison window 2011-07-02 to 2011-07-08 · PM2.5 target: MESA

6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 42.9 µg/m³

241% above nearby days

Air movement 4.29 kt

About the same as surrounding days

PM10 479 µg/m³

280% higher than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 42.9 µg/m³

241% higher than surrounding days

Before12.6 µg/m³ Event42.9 µg/m³ After11.9 µg/m³
5 monitors · 1 HOUR
PM10 479 µg/m³

280% higher than surrounding days

Before126 µg/m³ Event479 µg/m³ After120 µg/m³
18 monitors · 24 HOUR
Carbon monoxide 0.270 ppm

About the same as surrounding days

Before0.204 ppm Event0.270 ppm After0.267 ppm
3 monitors · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 5.70 ppb

17% lower than surrounding days

Before3.88 ppb Event5.70 ppb After7.23 ppb
5 monitors · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 0.021 ppb

About the same as surrounding days

Before0.021 ppb Event0.021 ppb After0 ppb
2 monitors · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.050 ppm

6% lower than surrounding days

Before0.045 ppm Event0.050 ppm After0.054 ppm
29 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity 40.8 %

15% higher than surrounding days

Temperature 93.9 °F

About the same as surrounding days

Wind 4.29 kt

About the same as surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ 102.3 µg/m³ 4.6 Jul 5, 2011 #8 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

Official records

  • NOAA Storm Events Dust Storm, ARIZONA, Jul 5, 2011 "Strong to severe thunderstorm development had occured in the early afternoon hours of July 5th near the Tucson, AZ area and east of Tucson. As thunderstorms dissipated and began moving northwest, outflows from these stor…" record →

EPA AQS monitor qualifier 2

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier RJ — High Winds.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jul 5, 2011 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RJ, High Winds.) on 101 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2011-07-05, identifying windblown or transported dust as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier IJ — High Winds.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jul 5, 2011 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IJ, High Winds.) on 1 PM2.5 sample in the candidate CBSA on 2011-07-05, identifying windblown or transported dust as affecting the sample. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.

NOAA Storm Events (NWS record) 1

Agency and publisher pages 2

  • July 5, 2011 - Historic Dust Storm across south-central Arizona

    National Weather Service Phoenix · Jul 5, 2011 official government

    The National Weather Service documented a large dust storm driven by thunderstorm outflow winds that entered and passed through the Phoenix metropolitan area during the evening of July 5.

  • Monthly Air Quality Report for July 2011

    Arizona Department of Environmental Quality official government

    Arizona DEQ's July 2011 report documents the major July 5 dust storm and PM2.5 exceedances in the Phoenix metropolitan area.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

EPA monitor flag EPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.