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Fireworks EPA monitor flag

2009-01-01 fireworks episode affecting San Diego-Carlsbad, CA

January 1, 2009

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 78.3 µg/m³ near San Diego across 1 covered metro home to 3.3 million people. 1 metro placed a top-ten day in their record.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 3.0 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 9.8 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Fireworks”

Qualified frozen evidence supports fireworks as the broad root cause of the 2009-01-01 PM2.5 episode affecting San Diego-Carlsbad, CA.

EPA monitor flag EPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.

U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jan 1, 2009 official

AQS PM2.5 qualifier IH — Fireworks.

EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 1 PM2.5 sample in the candidate CBSA on 2009-01-01, identifying fireworks as affecting the sample. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Fireworks

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 1 PM2.5 sample in the candidate CBSA on 2009-01-01, identifying fireworks as affecting the sample. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not…

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The transport path has not been reconstructed

    The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.

    Research gap
  3. 3

    Local response

    78.3 µg/m³ near San Diego

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro. The peak daily concentration is roughly 3.6 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Fireworks” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

San Diego-Carlsbad, CA

Monitor comparison window 2008-12-29 to 2009-01-04 · PM2.5 target: Escondido

6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 54.3 µg/m³

173% above nearby days

Air movement 1.74 kt

About the same as surrounding days

PM10 46.5 µg/m³

14% higher than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 54.3 µg/m³

173% higher than surrounding days

Before19.9 µg/m³ Event54.3 µg/m³ After12.5 µg/m³
5 monitors · 24 HOUR
PM10 46.5 µg/m³

14% higher than surrounding days

Before35 µg/m³ Event46.5 µg/m³ After
8 monitors · 24 HOUR
Carbon monoxide 1.35 ppm

7% higher than surrounding days

Before1.35 ppm Event1.35 ppm After0.867 ppm
4 monitors · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 23.2 ppb

About the same as surrounding days

Before29.3 ppb Event23.2 ppb After17.9 ppb
7 monitors · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 3.22 ppb

About the same as surrounding days

Before5.23 ppb Event3.22 ppb After3.04 ppb
3 monitors · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.017 ppm

About the same as surrounding days

Before0.011 ppm Event0.017 ppm After0.021 ppm
10 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity 76.8 %

About the same as surrounding days

Pressure 999 Millibars

About the same as surrounding days

Temperature 52.1 °F

About the same as surrounding days

Wind 1.74 kt

About the same as surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
San Diego-Carlsbad, CA 78.3 µg/m³ 3.6 Jan 1, 2009 #8 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

EPA AQS monitor qualifier 1

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier IH — Fireworks.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jan 1, 2009 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IH, Fireworks.) on 1 PM2.5 sample in the candidate CBSA on 2009-01-01, identifying fireworks as affecting the sample. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

EPA monitor flag EPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.