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Wildfire smoke Corroborated

2008-11-16 wildfire smoke episode affecting Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA

November 16, 2008

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 78.3 µg/m³ near Los Angeles across 1 covered metro home to 13 million people.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 2.9 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 37 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Wildfire smoke”

Qualified frozen evidence supports wildfire smoke as the broad root cause.

Corroborated Independent reporting agrees on the cause, with no agency determination, monitor flag, or published assessment behind it.

NASA Earth Observatory · Nov 18, 2008 corroborates

Fires in California

NASA satellite imagery for November 16 shows Southern California wildfires around the Los Angeles metropolitan area and smoke spreading far west over the Pacific.

CBS News / Associated Press · Nov 16, 2008 corroborates

Calif. Fires Rage Despite Calmer Winds

Contemporaneous wire reporting said Southern California wildfires blanketed much of the region with choking smoke.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Wildfire smoke

    Contemporaneous reporting and NASA imagery explicitly connected the Los Angeles-region smoke episode to Southern California wildfires.

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    Transport into the affected region is documented

    NASA satellite imagery for November 16 shows Southern California wildfires around the Los Angeles metropolitan area and smoke spreading far west over the Pacific.

    View transport source ↗
    Documented
  3. 3

    Local response

    78.3 µg/m³ near Los Angeles

    Contemporaneous wire reporting said Southern California wildfires blanketed much of the region with choking smoke.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA

Monitor comparison window 2008-11-13 to 2008-11-19 · PM2.5 target: Los Angeles-North Main Street

6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 60.9 µg/m³

118% above nearby days

Air movement 2.83 kt

About the same as surrounding days

PM10 99 µg/m³

104% higher than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 60.9 µg/m³

118% higher than surrounding days

Before27.9 µg/m³ Event60.9 µg/m³ After25.9 µg/m³
11 monitors · 24 HOUR
PM10 99 µg/m³

104% higher than surrounding days

Before48 µg/m³ Event99 µg/m³ After48.5 µg/m³
4 monitors · 24-HR BLK AVG
Carbon monoxide 1.03 ppm

5% higher than surrounding days

Before1.15 ppm Event1.03 ppm After0.963 ppm
18 monitors · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 33.2 ppb

24% lower than surrounding days

Before45.9 ppb Event33.2 ppb After43.4 ppb
17 monitors · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 2.65 ppb

30% higher than surrounding days

Before2.13 ppb Event2.65 ppb After1.91 ppb
5 monitors · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.025 ppm

113% higher than surrounding days

Before0.011 ppm Event0.025 ppm After0.010 ppm
18 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity 22.3 %

33% lower than surrounding days

Pressure 1005 Millibars

About the same as surrounding days

Temperature 71.6 °F

About the same as surrounding days

Wind 2.83 kt

About the same as surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA 78.3 µg/m³ 3.6 Nov 16, 2008 #23 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

Agency and publisher pages 2

  • Calif. Fires Rage Despite Calmer Winds

    CBS News / Associated Press · Nov 16, 2008 corroborates

    Contemporaneous wire reporting said Southern California wildfires blanketed much of the region with choking smoke.

  • Fires in California

    NASA Earth Observatory · Nov 18, 2008 corroborates government

    NASA satellite imagery for November 16 shows Southern California wildfires around the Los Angeles metropolitan area and smoke spreading far west over the Pacific.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

Corroborated Independent reporting agrees on the cause, with no agency determination, monitor flag, or published assessment behind it.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.