← Air events

Wildfire smoke EPA monitor flag

Mid-June 2008 Mid-Atlantic Evans Road and South One wildfire-smoke episode

June 10, 2008 to June 23, 2008 · Origin: eastern North Carolina; southeastern Virginia

Named sources South One Fire Evans Road Fire 40,704 acres , NC · ICS-209-PLUS NC-NCS-08-048-065

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 99 µg/m³ near Raleigh across 6 covered metros home to 12 million people. 3 metros recorded their worst day on record; 5 placed a top-ten day.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 4.3 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 51 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Wildfire smoke”

Qualified frozen evidence supports wildfire smoke as the broad root cause and supports grouping the contemporaneous affected events into one time-bounded episode. Qualified frozen evidence supports wildfire smoke as the broad root cause and supports grouping the contemporaneous affected events into one time-bo

EPA monitor flag EPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.

U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jun 10, 2008 official

AQS PM2.5 qualifier RT — Wildfire-U. S.

EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 1 PM2.5 sample in the candidate CBSA on 2008-06-10, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the sample. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jun 12, 2008 official

AQS PM2.5 qualifier RT — Wildfire-U. S.

EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 1 PM2.5 sample in the candidate CBSA on 2008-06-12, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the sample. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jun 12, 2008 official

AQS PM2.5 qualifier IT — Wildfire-U. S.

EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 24 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2008-06-12, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Sequence: Virginia Beach (Jun 10) → Raleigh (Jun 12) → Durham (Jun 12) → Greensboro (Jun 13) → Winston (Jun 13) → Washington (Jun 14)

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Wildfire smoke

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 1 PM2.5 sample in the candidate CBSA on 2008-06-10, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the sample. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official…

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    Transport into the affected region is documented

    NASA documented thick smoke from the Evans Road Fire in North Carolina and South One Fire in the Great Dismal Swamp traveling up the East Coast in mid-June and affecting air quality in numerous cities and towns.

    View transport source ↗
    Documented
  3. 3

    Local response

    99 µg/m³ near Raleigh

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 6 metros. The peak daily concentration is roughly 4.5 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Durham-Chapel Hill, NC

Monitor comparison window 2008-06-09 to 2008-06-16 · PM2.5 target: Pittsboro

4 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 71.7 µg/m³

210% above nearby days

Carbon monoxide 0.813 ppm

85% higher than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 71.7 µg/m³

210% higher than surrounding days

Before23.1 µg/m³ Event71.7 µg/m³ After15.3 µg/m³
3 monitors · 24 HOUR
Carbon monoxide 0.813 ppm

85% higher than surrounding days

Before0.448 ppm Event0.813 ppm After0.400 ppm
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 1.96 ppb

About the same as surrounding days

Before4.87 ppb Event1.96 ppb After1.52 ppb
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.052 ppm

13% higher than surrounding days

Before0.049 ppm Event0.052 ppm After0.034 ppm
3 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Raleigh, NC 99 µg/m³ 4.5 Jun 12, 2008 Worst day on record
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC 85.7 µg/m³ 16.5 Jun 14, 2008 #2 of its top days
Durham-Chapel Hill, NC 71.7 µg/m³ 3.3 Jun 12, 2008 Worst day on record
Greensboro-High Point, NC 68.6 µg/m³ 3.1 Jun 13, 2008 Worst day on record
Winston-Salem, NC 60.8 µg/m³ 2.8 Jun 13, 2008 #2 of its top days
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV 57 µg/m³ 2.6 Jun 14, 2008 #16 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

EPA AQS monitor qualifier 13

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier RT — Wildfire-U. S.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jun 10, 2008 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 1 PM2.5 sample in the candidate CBSA on 2008-06-10, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the sample. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier RT — Wildfire-U. S.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jun 12, 2008 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 1 PM2.5 sample in the candidate CBSA on 2008-06-12, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the sample. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier IT — Wildfire-U. S.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jun 12, 2008 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 24 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2008-06-12, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier RT — Wildfire-U. S.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jun 12, 2008 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 1 PM2.5 sample in the candidate CBSA on 2008-06-12, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the sample. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier IT — Wildfire-U. S.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jun 13, 2008 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted informational qualifier (IT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 8 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2008-06-13, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. An informational qualifier is an official submitting-agency flag, not a request for exclusion or an EPA-concurred determination.

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier RT — Wildfire-U. S.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jun 13, 2008 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 1 PM2.5 sample in the candidate CBSA on 2008-06-13, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the sample. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier E — Forest Fire.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jun 12, 2008 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (E, Forest Fire.) on 1 PM2.5 sample in the candidate CBSA on 2008-06-12, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the sample. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier RT — Wildfire-U. S.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jun 14, 2008 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 3 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2008-06-14, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier RT — Wildfire-U. S.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jun 14, 2008 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 2 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2008-06-14, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier RT — Wildfire-U. S.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jun 17, 2008 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 3 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2008-06-17, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier RT — Wildfire-U. S.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jun 20, 2008 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 3 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2008-06-20, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier RT — Wildfire-U. S.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jun 21, 2008 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 1 PM2.5 sample in the candidate CBSA on 2008-06-21, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the sample. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier RT — Wildfire-U. S.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jun 23, 2008 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RT, Wildfire-U. S.) on 4 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2008-06-23, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

Agency and publisher pages 5

  • N.C. Exceptional Event (June, 2008)

    North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality official government

    NCDEQ's exceptional-event demonstration identifies the June 12–13 Raleigh/Durham PM2.5 impact as smoke from the Evans Road Fire and estimates smoke contributed at least 62% of particulate mass at the Durham study site.

  • Fires in Virginia, North Carolina

    NASA Earth Observatory · Jun 17, 2008 corroborates government

    NASA documented thick smoke from the Evans Road Fire in North Carolina and South One Fire in the Great Dismal Swamp traveling up the East Coast in mid-June and affecting air quality in numerous cities and towns.

  • Wildfire smoke, odor reach Triangle

    WRAL · Jun 12, 2008 corroborates

    Contemporaneous reporting said a wind shift could carry smoke from the eastern North Carolina Evans Road wildfire to Raleigh, Durham, and Greensboro.

  • Exceptional Events in 2008

    Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments corroborates government

    Regional exceptional-events material discusses the June 2008 fire-smoke episode and includes historical Virginia Beach PM2.5 data, supporting treatment as part of a broader regional episode.

  • Forests and Rangelands Success Story: Great Dismal Swamp Firefighting

    Forests and Rangelands · Jan 1, 2008 hypothesis government

    Government fire documentation reports that the South One Fire ignited June 9 and that smoke lingered over the fire and surrounding communities for many weeks; it does not attribute this specific Virginia Beach PM2.5 observation.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

EPA monitor flag EPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.