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Winter inversion Corroborated

December 20, 2007 Twin Cities regional inversion episode

December 20, 2007 · Origin: Minnesota Twin Cities region

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 53.7 µg/m³ near Minneapolis across 1 covered metro home to 3.8 million people.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 2.0 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 7.6 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Winter inversion”

Reporting on the MPCA alert attributes elevated fine particles affecting the Twin Cities to a large regional inversion trapping contaminated air.

Corroborated Independent reporting agrees on the cause, with no agency determination, monitor flag, or published assessment behind it.

Park Rapids Enterprise · Dec 20, 2007 corroborates

Detroit Lakes part of air alert

Reporting on an MPCA air alert states that a large inversion trapped contaminated air near the ground across a region extending to the Twin Cities; elevated fine particles were reported and the Twin Cities were described as the worst-affected area.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Winter inversion

    Reporting on an MPCA air alert states that a large inversion trapped contaminated air near the ground across a region extending to the Twin Cities; elevated fine particles were reported and the Twin Cities were described as the worst-affected area.

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The transport path has not been reconstructed

    The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.

    Research gap
  3. 3

    Local response

    53.7 µg/m³ near Minneapolis

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro. The peak daily concentration is roughly 2.4 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Winter inversion” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI

Monitor comparison window 2007-12-17 to 2007-12-23 · PM2.5 target: Wenonah Elementary School

6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 48 µg/m³

98% above nearby days

PM10 23 µg/m³

10% higher than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 48 µg/m³

98% higher than surrounding days

Before24.2 µg/m³ Event48 µg/m³ After5.30 µg/m³
13 monitors · 24 HOUR
PM10 23 µg/m³

10% higher than surrounding days

Before24 µg/m³ Event23 µg/m³ After11 µg/m³
1 monitor · 24-HR BLK AVG
Carbon monoxide 0.196 ppm

17% higher than surrounding days

Before0.167 ppm Event0.196 ppm After0.117 ppm
5 monitors · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 16.7 ppb

16% higher than surrounding days

Before15.4 ppb Event16.7 ppb After7.96 ppb
3 monitors · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 0.565 ppb

70% higher than surrounding days

Before0.208 ppb Event0.565 ppb After1.17 ppb
6 monitors · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.016 ppm

About the same as surrounding days

Before0.012 ppm Event0.016 ppm After0.021 ppm
2 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Temperature 22.7 °F

45% higher than surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI 53.7 µg/m³ 2.4 Dec 20, 2007 #21 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

Agency and publisher pages 1

  • Detroit Lakes part of air alert

    Park Rapids Enterprise · news@parkrapidsenterprise.com · Dec 20, 2007 corroborates

    Reporting on an MPCA air alert states that a large inversion trapped contaminated air near the ground across a region extending to the Twin Cities; elevated fine particles were reported and the Twin Cities were described as the worst-affected area.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

Corroborated Independent reporting agrees on the cause, with no agency determination, monitor flag, or published assessment behind it.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.