2006-12-16 residential combustion episode affecting Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
December 16, 2006
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 68.3 µg/m³ near Seattle across
1 covered metro home to 4.1 million people.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 2.7 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 11 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Residential combustion”
Qualified frozen evidence supports residential combustion as the broad root cause.
CorroboratedIndependent reporting agrees on the cause, with no agency determination, monitor flag, or published assessment behind it.
Seattle Post-Intelligencer · Dec 18, 2006corroborates
The report quoted Puget Sound Clean Air Agency officials that regional air quality had worsened partly because more people were using wood stoves and fireplaces for heat following the December windstorm; it identifies wood smoke as a contributor to the mid-December regional particle episode.
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
The report quoted Puget Sound Clean Air Agency officials that regional air quality had worsened partly because more people were using wood stoves and fireplaces for heat following the December windstorm; it identifies wood smoke as a contributor to…
The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to
these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.
Research gap
3
Local response
68.3 µg/m³ near Seattle
EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro.
The peak daily concentration is roughly 3.1 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Residential combustion” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Monitor comparison window 2006-12-13 to 2006-12-19 · PM2.5 target: LAKE FOREST PARK TOWNE CENTER
3 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse48 µg/m³
111% above nearby days
Air movement2.23 kt
13% lower than surrounding days
PM1051 µg/m³
28% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.548 µg/m³
111% higher than surrounding days
Before4.63 µg/m³ Event48 µg/m³ After26.1 µg/m³
PM1051 µg/m³
28% higher than surrounding days
Before15 µg/m³ Event51 µg/m³ After45.5 µg/m³
Ozone0.020 ppm
16% higher than surrounding days
Before0.025 ppm Event0.020 ppm After0.012 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity89.3 %
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature33.8 °F
10% lower than surrounding days
Wind2.23 kt
13% lower than surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
Seattle Post-Intelligencer · Cherie Black · Dec 18, 2006corroborates
The report quoted Puget Sound Clean Air Agency officials that regional air quality had worsened partly because more people were using wood stoves and fireplaces for heat following the December windstorm; it identifies wood smoke as a contributor to the mid-December regional particle episode.
Status and provenance
CorroboratedIndependent reporting agrees on the cause, with no agency determination, monitor flag, or published assessment behind it.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.