← Air events

Residential combustion Corroborated

2006-12-16 residential combustion episode affecting Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA

December 16, 2006

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 68.3 µg/m³ near Seattle across 1 covered metro home to 4.1 million people.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 2.7 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 11 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Residential combustion”

Qualified frozen evidence supports residential combustion as the broad root cause.

Corroborated Independent reporting agrees on the cause, with no agency determination, monitor flag, or published assessment behind it.

Seattle Post-Intelligencer · Dec 18, 2006 corroborates

Officials urge care, caution in keeping warm during outage

The report quoted Puget Sound Clean Air Agency officials that regional air quality had worsened partly because more people were using wood stoves and fireplaces for heat following the December windstorm; it identifies wood smoke as a contributor to the mid-December regional particle episode.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Residential combustion

    The report quoted Puget Sound Clean Air Agency officials that regional air quality had worsened partly because more people were using wood stoves and fireplaces for heat following the December windstorm; it identifies wood smoke as a contributor to…

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The transport path has not been reconstructed

    The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.

    Research gap
  3. 3

    Local response

    68.3 µg/m³ near Seattle

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 1 metro. The peak daily concentration is roughly 3.1 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Residential combustion” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA

Monitor comparison window 2006-12-13 to 2006-12-19 · PM2.5 target: LAKE FOREST PARK TOWNE CENTER

3 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 48 µg/m³

111% above nearby days

Air movement 2.23 kt

13% lower than surrounding days

PM10 51 µg/m³

28% higher than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 48 µg/m³

111% higher than surrounding days

Before4.63 µg/m³ Event48 µg/m³ After26.1 µg/m³
6 monitors · 24 HOUR
PM10 51 µg/m³

28% higher than surrounding days

Before15 µg/m³ Event51 µg/m³ After45.5 µg/m³
3 monitors · 24-HR BLK AVG
Ozone 0.020 ppm

16% higher than surrounding days

Before0.025 ppm Event0.020 ppm After0.012 ppm
2 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity 89.3 %

About the same as surrounding days

Temperature 33.8 °F

10% lower than surrounding days

Wind 2.23 kt

13% lower than surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA 68.3 µg/m³ 3.1 Dec 16, 2006 #23 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

Agency and publisher pages 1

  • Officials urge care, caution in keeping warm during outage

    Seattle Post-Intelligencer · Cherie Black · Dec 18, 2006 corroborates

    The report quoted Puget Sound Clean Air Agency officials that regional air quality had worsened partly because more people were using wood stoves and fireplaces for heat following the December windstorm; it identifies wood smoke as a contributor to the mid-December regional particle episode.

Status and provenance

Corroborated Independent reporting agrees on the cause, with no agency determination, monitor flag, or published assessment behind it.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.