Daily PM2.5 peaked at 34.7 µg/m³ near Palm Bay across
3 covered metros home to 2.4 million people.
1 metro placed a top-ten day in their record.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 0.9 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 2.3 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Wildfire smoke”
Qualified frozen evidence supports wildfire smoke as the broad root cause.
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · May 8, 2006official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (E, Forest Fire.) on 1 PM2.5 sample in the candidate CBSA on 2006-05-08, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the sample. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.
Sequence: Palm Bay (May 8) → North Port (May 8) → Lakeland (May 8)
Evidence path
From source to city
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (E, Forest Fire.) on 1 PM2.5 sample in the candidate CBSA on 2006-05-08, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the sample. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official…
The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to
these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.
Research gap
3
Local response
34.7 µg/m³ near Palm Bay
EPA monitors recorded the event across 3 metros.
The peak daily concentration is roughly 1.6 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Wildfire smoke” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
Monitor comparison window 2006-05-05 to 2006-05-11 · PM2.5 target: Baptist Childrens' Home
3 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse24 µg/m³
72% above nearby days
PM1035 µg/m³
40% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.524 µg/m³
72% higher than surrounding days
Before9.90 µg/m³ Event24 µg/m³ After13.9 µg/m³
PM1035 µg/m³
40% higher than surrounding days
Before26 µg/m³ Event35 µg/m³ After24 µg/m³
Ozone0.032 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Before0.038 ppm Event0.032 ppm After0.031 ppm
Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
Monitor comparison window 2006-05-05 to 2006-05-11 · PM2.5 target: Melbourne
2 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse34.7 µg/m³
91% above nearby days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.534.7 µg/m³
91% higher than surrounding days
Before10.5 µg/m³ Event34.7 µg/m³ After18.2 µg/m³
Ozone0.044 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Before0.045 ppm Event0.044 ppm After0.038 ppm
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Monitor comparison window 2006-05-05 to 2006-05-11 · PM2.5 target: Bee Ridge Park
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse25.3 µg/m³
74% above nearby days
PM1039 µg/m³
63% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.525.3 µg/m³
74% higher than surrounding days
Before7.50 µg/m³ Event25.3 µg/m³ After14.5 µg/m³
PM1039 µg/m³
63% higher than surrounding days
Before23 µg/m³ Event39 µg/m³ After24 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide1.15 ppm
8% higher than surrounding days
Before0.908 ppm Event1.15 ppm After1.07 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide3.46 ppb
14% higher than surrounding days
Before2.71 ppb Event3.46 ppb After3.46 ppb
Sulfur dioxide0.542 ppb
225% higher than surrounding days
Before0.208 ppb Event0.542 ppb After0.043 ppb
Ozone0.031 ppm
About the same as surrounding days
Before0.033 ppm Event0.031 ppm After0.026 ppm
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · May 8, 2006officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (E, Forest Fire.) on 1 PM2.5 sample in the candidate CBSA on 2006-05-08, identifying wildfire smoke as affecting the sample. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.
NASA Earth Observatory · May 8, 2006contextgovernment
NASA documented multiple eastern-Florida wildfires on May 7, including the Areca Fire, and a thick smoke plume on May 8. This supports contemporaneous regional wildfire-smoke context but does not directly attribute the listed metropolitan PM2.5 observations to that smoke.
What remains uncertain
AQS qualifiers are submitting-agency causal flags and do not by themselves establish EPA concurrence.
Status and provenance
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.