← Air events

Dust EPA monitor flag

2005-09-14 transported or windblown dust episode affecting Jacksonville, FL, Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL, Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL, Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL, Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL

September 14, 2005 to September 18, 2005

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 46.8 µg/m³ near Jacksonville across 6 covered metros home to 10 million people. 5 metros placed a top-ten day in their record.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 5.4 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 56 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Dust”

Qualified frozen evidence supports transported or windblown dust as the broad root cause.

EPA monitor flag EPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.

U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 16, 2005 official

AQS PM2.5 qualifier RA — African Dust.

EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RA, African Dust.) on 2 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2005-09-16, identifying windblown or transported dust as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 15, 2005 official

AQS PM2.5 qualifier RA — African Dust.

EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RA, African Dust.) on 2 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2005-09-15, identifying windblown or transported dust as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 17, 2005 official

AQS PM2.5 qualifier RA — African Dust.

EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RA, African Dust.) on 2 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2005-09-17, identifying windblown or transported dust as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Sequence: Jacksonville (Sep 14) → Orlando (Sep 14) → Tampa (Sep 15) → Deltona (Sep 16) → Lakeland (Sep 16) → Palm Bay (Sep 16)

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Dust

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RA, African Dust.) on 2 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2005-09-16, identifying windblown or transported dust as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an…

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The transport path has not been reconstructed

    The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.

    Research gap
  3. 3

    Local response

    46.8 µg/m³ near Jacksonville

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 6 metros. The peak daily concentration is roughly 2.1 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Dust” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Jacksonville, FL

Monitor comparison window 2005-09-11 to 2005-09-21 · PM2.5 target: Mayo Clinic

5 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 42 µg/m³

149% above nearby days

Carbon monoxide 0.396 ppm

22% higher than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 42 µg/m³

149% higher than surrounding days

Before11.2 µg/m³ Event42 µg/m³ After4 µg/m³
2 monitors · 24 HOUR
Carbon monoxide 0.396 ppm

22% higher than surrounding days

Before0.325 ppm Event0.396 ppm After0.118 ppm
3 monitors · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 16.6 ppb

90% higher than surrounding days

Before8.75 ppb Event16.6 ppb After4.58 ppb
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 3.25 ppb

26% higher than surrounding days

Before3.27 ppb Event3.25 ppb After0.542 ppb
5 monitors · 1 HOUR
Ozone 0.052 ppm

42% higher than surrounding days

Before0.033 ppm Event0.052 ppm After0.020 ppm
3 monitors · 8-HR RUN AVG BEGIN HOUR

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Jacksonville, FL 46.8 µg/m³ 9.6 Sep 15, 2005 #12 of its top days
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL 46.4 µg/m³ 7.7 Sep 15, 2005 #4 of its top days
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL 44.1 µg/m³ 7.5 Sep 15, 2005 #9 of its top days
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL 43.6 µg/m³ 2.0 Sep 16, 2005 #3 of its top days
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL 42 µg/m³ 1.9 Sep 16, 2005 #5 of its top days
Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL 40.2 µg/m³ 1.8 Sep 16, 2005 #2 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

EPA AQS monitor qualifier 3

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier RA — African Dust.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 16, 2005 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RA, African Dust.) on 2 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2005-09-16, identifying windblown or transported dust as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier RA — African Dust.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 15, 2005 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RA, African Dust.) on 2 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2005-09-15, identifying windblown or transported dust as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

  • AQS PM2.5 qualifier RA — African Dust.

    U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 17, 2005 official government

    EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RA, African Dust.) on 2 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2005-09-17, identifying windblown or transported dust as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

EPA monitor flag EPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.