Daily PM2.5 peaked at 46.8 µg/m³ near Jacksonville across
6 covered metros home to 10 million people.
5 metros placed a top-ten day in their record.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 5.4 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 56 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Dust”
Qualified frozen evidence supports transported or windblown dust as the broad root cause.
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 16, 2005official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RA, African Dust.) on 2 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2005-09-16, identifying windblown or transported dust as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 15, 2005official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RA, African Dust.) on 2 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2005-09-15, identifying windblown or transported dust as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 17, 2005official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RA, African Dust.) on 2 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2005-09-17, identifying windblown or transported dust as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RA, African Dust.) on 2 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2005-09-16, identifying windblown or transported dust as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an…
The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to
these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.
Research gap
3
Local response
46.8 µg/m³ near Jacksonville
EPA monitors recorded the event across 6 metros.
The peak daily concentration is roughly 2.1 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Dust” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Jacksonville, FL
Monitor comparison window 2005-09-11 to 2005-09-21 · PM2.5 target: Mayo Clinic
5 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse42 µg/m³
149% above nearby days
Carbon monoxide0.396 ppm
22% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.542 µg/m³
149% higher than surrounding days
Before11.2 µg/m³ Event42 µg/m³ After4 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.396 ppm
22% higher than surrounding days
Before0.325 ppm Event0.396 ppm After0.118 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide16.6 ppb
90% higher than surrounding days
Before8.75 ppb Event16.6 ppb After4.58 ppb
Sulfur dioxide3.25 ppb
26% higher than surrounding days
Before3.27 ppb Event3.25 ppb After0.542 ppb
Ozone0.052 ppm
42% higher than surrounding days
Before0.033 ppm Event0.052 ppm After0.020 ppm
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Monitor comparison window 2005-09-11 to 2005-09-21
6 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse38.2 µg/m³
71% above nearby days
PM1051 µg/m³
59% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.538.2 µg/m³
71% higher than surrounding days
Before11.9 µg/m³ Event38.2 µg/m³ After4.55 µg/m³
PM1051 µg/m³
59% higher than surrounding days
Before21 µg/m³ Event51 µg/m³ After14 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.423 ppm
15% higher than surrounding days
Before0.348 ppm Event0.423 ppm After0.250 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide10.3 ppb
49% higher than surrounding days
Before7.67 ppb Event10.3 ppb After2.83 ppb
Sulfur dioxide0.833 ppb
5% higher than surrounding days
Before0.500 ppb Event0.833 ppb After0 ppb
Ozone0.055 ppm
32% higher than surrounding days
Before0.042 ppm Event0.055 ppm After0.019 ppm
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Monitor comparison window 2005-09-11 to 2005-09-21 · PM2.5 target: THE SITE IS ON A GRASS COVERED OPEN AREA OF THE PLANT CITY HIGH SCHO
Monitor comparison window 2005-09-11 to 2005-09-21 · PM2.5 target: Baptist Childrens' Home
3 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse42 µg/m³
151% above nearby days
PM1044.5 µg/m³
71% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.542 µg/m³
151% higher than surrounding days
Before16.7 µg/m³ Event42 µg/m³ After5.20 µg/m³
PM1044.5 µg/m³
71% higher than surrounding days
Before25.5 µg/m³ Event44.5 µg/m³ After12 µg/m³
Ozone0.045 ppm
34% higher than surrounding days
Before0.033 ppm Event0.045 ppm After0.020 ppm
Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
Monitor comparison window 2005-09-11 to 2005-09-21 · PM2.5 target: Melbourne
3 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse40.2 µg/m³
41% above nearby days
PM1043 µg/m³
79% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.540.2 µg/m³
41% higher than surrounding days
Before16.7 µg/m³ Event40.2 µg/m³ After—
PM1043 µg/m³
79% higher than surrounding days
Before20 µg/m³ Event43 µg/m³ After11 µg/m³
Ozone0.056 ppm
59% higher than surrounding days
Before0.035 ppm Event0.056 ppm After0.022 ppm
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 16, 2005officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RA, African Dust.) on 2 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2005-09-16, identifying windblown or transported dust as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 15, 2005officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RA, African Dust.) on 2 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2005-09-15, identifying windblown or transported dust as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Sep 17, 2005officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RA, African Dust.) on 2 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2005-09-17, identifying windblown or transported dust as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.
What remains uncertain
AQS qualifiers are submitting-agency causal flags and do not by themselves establish EPA concurrence.
Status and provenance
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.