2005-07-27 transported or windblown dust episode affecting Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
July 27, 2005
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 30.9 µg/m³ near Lakeland across
1 covered metro home to 852,878 people.
1 metro placed a top-ten day in their record.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Dust”
Qualified frozen evidence supports transported or windblown dust as the broad root cause.
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jul 27, 2005official
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RA, African Dust.) on 2 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2005-07-27, identifying windblown or transported dust as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RA, African Dust.) on 2 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2005-07-27, identifying windblown or transported dust as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an…
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Dust” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
Monitor comparison window 2005-07-24 to 2005-07-30 · PM2.5 target: Baptist Childrens' Home
3 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse28.4 µg/m³
49% above nearby days
PM1037 µg/m³
35% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.528.4 µg/m³
49% higher than surrounding days
Before— Event28.4 µg/m³ After9.60 µg/m³
PM1037 µg/m³
35% higher than surrounding days
Before27 µg/m³ Event37 µg/m³ After27.5 µg/m³
Ozone0.047 ppm
30% higher than surrounding days
Before0.035 ppm Event0.047 ppm After0.036 ppm
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Air-mass reconstruction
Where the air had been
NOAA HYSPLIT traces the air arriving at each metro backward for 72 hours. Multiple
arrival times and heights show whether the broad path is stable—or sensitive to
assumptions about when and where the polluted layer arrived.
Transport context · not source attribution
Air arriving near Lakeland-Winter Haven
Peak-date arrivals · 2005-07-27
Broad historyMostly northeast of the metro
72-hour reach150–1,300 km
Sensitivity runs12 modeled paths
Near surface · 100 mLower atmosphere · 500 mHigher layer · 1,000 m
Each line begins 72 hours before arrival and points toward the metro. Color represents
arrival height; repeated lines represent 00, 06, 12, and 18 UTC arrival assumptions.
A path can show where the air traveled, but it cannot prove which source added the PM2.5.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
U.S. EPA Air Quality System and the submitting air monitoring agency · Jul 27, 2005officialgovernment
EPA AQS carries an agency-submitted request-exclusion qualifier (RA, African Dust.) on 2 PM2.5 samples in the candidate CBSA on 2005-07-27, identifying windblown or transported dust as affecting the samples. A request-exclusion qualifier is an official submitting-agency causal claim, but this endpoint does not establish EPA concurrence.
What remains uncertain
AQS qualifiers are submitting-agency causal flags and do not by themselves establish EPA concurrence.
Status and provenance
EPA monitor flagEPA attached an exceptional-event qualifier to the affected samples. The agency flagged the measurement itself; no separate agency record describes the event.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.