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Other Documented

January 31–February 6, 2005 Midwest stagnation and nitrate episode

January 30, 2005 to February 6, 2005

Daily PM2.5 peaked at 81.6 µg/m³ near Detroit across 14 covered metros home to 34 million people. 7 metros placed a top-ten day in their record.

Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the average affected resident ≈ 5.1 cigarettes. Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of ≈ 176 million cigarettes. An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a medical dose.

Why we think this happened

The basis for “Other”

Qualified frozen evidence supports other documented PM source or accumulation mechanism as the broad root cause and supports grouping the contemporaneous affected events into one time-bounded episode. Qualified frozen evidence supports other documented PM source or accumulation mechanism as the broad root cause and supports grouping the contemporaneous affected events into one time-bounded episo

Documented An agency or publisher page assesses this cause, without an agency record naming the event or an EPA qualifier on the data.

See every retained source and limitation ↓

Sequence: Des Moines (Jan 30) → Kansas City (Jan 30) → Grand Rapids (Jan 31) → Minneapolis (Jan 31) → Indianapolis (Jan 31) → Chicago (Jan 31) → Cincinnati (Jan 31) → Columbus (Jan 31) → Omaha (Jan 31) → Dayton (Jan 31) → +4 more metros

Evidence path

From source to city

A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened, the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much of that chain is documented for this event.

Open the evidence ledger ↓
  1. 1

    Source or mechanism

    Other

    Scientific assessment identifies a January 31–February 6, 2005 Midwest episode driven by meteorological stagnation and nitrate; it explicitly covers Iowa and Missouri, supporting the Des Moines and Kansas City portion of this multi-place event, but…

    View supporting source ↗
    Documented
  2. 2

    Air-mass movement

    The transport path has not been reconstructed

    The retained record does not yet show how air traveled from the proposed source to these metros. A trajectory replay or dated plume analysis belongs here.

    Research gap
  3. 3

    Local response

    81.6 µg/m³ near Detroit

    EPA monitors recorded the event across 14 metros. The peak daily concentration is roughly 3.7 cigarette-equivalents at the outdoor daily rate.

    Inspect the pollutant and weather signals ↓
    Documented

Event autopsy

What the instruments saw

Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather stations show what changed. This context tests the “Other” explanation; it does not assign the cause by itself.

Observed context · not attribution

Grand Rapids-Wyoming, MI

Monitor comparison window 2005-01-31 to 2005-02-09 · PM2.5 target: GR-MONROE

5 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse 58.9 µg/m³

55% above nearby days

Air movement 3.42 kt

16% higher than surrounding days

PM10 43 µg/m³

70% higher than surrounding days

Pollution fingerprint

Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.5 58.9 µg/m³

55% higher than surrounding days

Before36.3 µg/m³ Event58.9 µg/m³ After7.80 µg/m³
2 monitors · 24 HOUR
PM10 43 µg/m³

70% higher than surrounding days

Before Event43 µg/m³ After7.50 µg/m³
2 monitors · 24 HOUR
Carbon monoxide 0.921 ppm

69% higher than surrounding days

Before0.483 ppm Event0.921 ppm After0.296 ppm
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
Nitrogen dioxide 36.1 ppb

28% higher than surrounding days

Before29.8 ppb Event36.1 ppb After11.7 ppb
1 monitor · 1 HOUR
Sulfur dioxide 5.44 ppb

274% higher than surrounding days

Before0.958 ppb Event5.44 ppb After0 ppb
1 monitor · 1 HOUR

Atmospheric conditions

Nearby EPA weather observations
Pressure 1003 Millibars

About the same as surrounding days

Temperature 36.4 °F

16% higher than surrounding days

Wind 3.42 kt

16% higher than surrounding days

Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set; missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.

Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent of the smoke.

Episode peak

-- cigarettes

The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading, click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.

Views from the selected metro

Camera views near

Browse the camera map →

Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.

Affected metros

MetroPeak PM2.5Cigarettes, whole eventPeak dayAll-time standing
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI 81.6 µg/m³ 16.2 Feb 5, 2005 #7 of its top days
Grand Rapids-Wyoming, MI 75.3 µg/m³ 13.4 Feb 4, 2005 #6 of its top days
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI 69.9 µg/m³ 3.2 Jan 31, 2005 #11 of its top days
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN 63.2 µg/m³ 2.9 Jan 31, 2005 #8 of its top days
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI 62.6 µg/m³ 8.3 Feb 3, 2005 #16 of its top days
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN 56.3 µg/m³ 2.6 Jan 31, 2005 #8 of its top days
Columbus, OH 51.8 µg/m³ 2.4 Jan 31, 2005 #15 of its top days
Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA 51.7 µg/m³ 2.4 Jan 31, 2005 #7 of its top days
Dayton, OH 50 µg/m³ 2.3 Jan 31, 2005 #9 of its top days
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA 48.8 µg/m³ 8.3 Jan 31, 2005 #9 of its top days
St. Louis, MO-IL 48.3 µg/m³ 2.2 Feb 2, 2005 #22 of its top days
Toledo, OH 48.3 µg/m³ 4.3 Feb 6, 2005 #13 of its top days
Madison, WI 43.5 µg/m³ 2.0 Feb 3, 2005 #21 of its top days
Kansas City, MO-KS 39 µg/m³ 1.8 Jan 30, 2005 #24 of its top days

"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each metro's Air Records page.

Public evidence library

What supports this account

Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.

Agency and publisher pages 1

What remains uncertain

Status and provenance

Documented An agency or publisher page assesses this cause, without an agency record naming the event or an EPA qualifier on the data.

This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates. Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong, tell us.