September 2002 Texas industrial-emissions transport episode
September 12, 2002 to September 15, 2002
Daily PM2.5 peaked at 57.5 µg/m³ near Houston across
4 covered metros home to 21 million people.
4 metros placed a top-ten day in their record.
Counting the extra PM2.5 above each metro's typical day, this event handed the
average affected resident ≈ 5.9 cigarettes.
Across everyone living in the affected metros, that is the collective equivalent of
≈ 126 million cigarettes.
An awareness illustration of outdoor exposure at 22 µg/m³
per cigarette (Berkeley Earth), counting only the event's ranked days; not a
medical dose.
Why we think this happened
The basis for “Industrial”
Qualified frozen evidence supports industrial emissions as the broad root cause and supports grouping the contemporaneous affected events into one time-bounded episode.
DocumentedAn agency or publisher page assesses this cause, without an agency record naming the event or an EPA qualifier on the data.
Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association · Jan 1, 2004official
Trajectory and potential-source analysis identifies long-range transport from the eastern United States and possible contributing emission regions including industrialized Texas and Louisiana, the Mississippi Valley, Tennessee, and lower Ohio River Valley during the South Texas September 11–14 haze event with elevated PM2.5.
NASA describes a September 2002 haze blanket formed by humid, hot, stagnant air and industrial emissions in the upper Midwest, then moved around the eastern United States and generated air-quality alerts as far away as Texas.
Sequence: Houston (Sep 12) → Dallas (Sep 12) → Austin (Sep 12) → San Antonio (Sep 12)
Evidence path
From source to city
A cause is more convincing when the record connects three things: something happened,
the air mass moved toward the region, and local instruments responded. Here is how much
of that chain is documented for this event.
The catalog has a grouping hypothesis, but no retained source directly establishes the proposed cause.
Open question
2
Air-mass movement
Transport into the affected region is documented
Trajectory and potential-source analysis identifies long-range transport from the eastern United States and possible contributing emission regions including industrialized Texas and Louisiana, the Mississippi Valley, Tennessee, and lower Ohio River…
Before, during, and after the episode: nearby pollutant monitors and surface-weather
stations show what changed. This context tests the “Industrial” explanation; it does
not assign the cause by itself.
Observed context · not attribution
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Monitor comparison window 2002-09-09 to 2002-09-18 · PM2.5 target: Clinton
Monitor comparison window 2002-09-09 to 2002-09-17 · PM2.5 target: Convention Center
5 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse48.1 µg/m³
88% above nearby days
Air movement3.46 kt
About the same as surrounding days
Carbon monoxide0.575 ppm
35% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.548.1 µg/m³
88% higher than surrounding days
Before25.6 µg/m³ Event48.1 µg/m³ After13.6 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.575 ppm
35% higher than surrounding days
Before0.425 ppm Event0.575 ppm After0.271 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide21 ppb
60% higher than surrounding days
Before15.5 ppb Event21 ppb After7.17 ppb
Sulfur dioxide0.250 ppb
33% lower than surrounding days
Before0.601 ppb Event0.250 ppb After0.375 ppb
Ozone0.061 ppm
25% higher than surrounding days
Before0.049 ppm Event0.061 ppm After0.041 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Humidity65.7 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Pressure992 Millibars
About the same as surrounding days
Temperature82.3 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Wind3.46 kt
About the same as surrounding days
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Monitor comparison window 2002-09-09 to 2002-09-17 · PM2.5 target: Selma
4 pollutant signals
Fine-particle pulse35.1 µg/m³
140% above nearby days
Air movement2.53 kt
7% lower than surrounding days
Carbon monoxide0.854 ppm
40% higher than surrounding days
Pollution fingerprint
Metro-wide median of reporting monitors
PM2.535.1 µg/m³
140% higher than surrounding days
Before11.5 µg/m³ Event35.1 µg/m³ After14.6 µg/m³
Carbon monoxide0.854 ppm
40% higher than surrounding days
Before0.575 ppm Event0.854 ppm After0.579 ppm
Nitrogen dioxide12.7 ppb
91% higher than surrounding days
Before10.3 ppb Event12.7 ppb After3.13 ppb
Ozone0.052 ppm
35% higher than surrounding days
Before0.038 ppm Event0.052 ppm After0.021 ppm
Atmospheric conditions
Nearby EPA weather observations
Temperature80.2 °F
About the same as surrounding days
Wind2.53 kt
7% lower than surrounding days
Source: U.S. EPA AirData daily observations and, where available, nearby ASOS/AWOS
surface observations. Values are descriptive medians over the retained monitor set;
missing measurements remain missing. Transport and source evidence remain separate
layers because this instrument pattern does not assign a cause by itself.
Measured daily PM2.5 at EPA monitors, as cigarette-equivalents
EPA monitors sit in metro areas, so the colour clusters there. Land between and beyond
them is unmeasured, not clean: this map shows where IAQng has readings, not the extent
of the smoke.
—
Episode peak
--cigarettes
The smoke map's scale, replayed over this event: the surface interpolates between
covered metros' daily records, framed to the affected region. Hover for a reading,
click a metro to pin it to the card. Days a monitor did not report draw nothing.
Select a metro on the map to see nearby cameras. Where an operator archive reaches
the event, drag the divider to compare two moments, adjust either date and time, or
play the available event-day frames. Camera imagery is visual context, not an
air-quality measurement or proof of smoke.
No useful public camera views are currently available within 80 km of this metro.
"Cigarettes, whole event" totals a metro's ranked event days at 22 µg/m³ per
cigarette: what a person outdoors there breathed across the event, as the
illustration. "All-time standing" is where this episode's days sit in each metro's
ranked record (worst-area measure, since 1999). Full local context is on each
metro's Air Records page.
Public evidence library
What supports this account
Each card states what a source supports—and what it does not. Official records, research, reporting, community observations, and transparent inferences remain visibly different kinds of evidence.
Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association · M. Kim; I. Jung; Kuruvilla John · Jan 1, 2004official
Trajectory and potential-source analysis identifies long-range transport from the eastern United States and possible contributing emission regions including industrialized Texas and Louisiana, the Mississippi Valley, Tennessee, and lower Ohio River Valley during the South Texas September 11–14 haze event with elevated PM2.5.
NASA describes a September 2002 haze blanket formed by humid, hot, stagnant air and industrial emissions in the upper Midwest, then moved around the eastern United States and generated air-quality alerts as far away as Texas.
What remains uncertain
The evidence supports regional influence or transport but does not quantify the contribution to observed PM2.5.
Status and provenance
DocumentedAn agency or publisher page assesses this cause, without an agency record naming the event or an EPA qualifier on the data.
This episode was grouped from the monitor record by the catalog pipeline and given
its cause from the evidence listed above. It has not been individually reviewed and
signed off, so its boundaries, cause, and name may change as evidence accumulates.
Grouping policy common_sense_root_cause_grouping.v2. The cause label reflects the
assembled evidence above, not an IAQng detection formula. If it is wrong,
tell us.